How Not to Be Wrong: The Hidden Maths of EveryDay Life (A Sunday Times Bestseller) (Paperback)

‘How Not to Be Wrong: The Hidden Math’s of Every Day Life’ Book CONTENTS:

WHEN AMI GOING TO USE THIS? - 1

PART I

Linearity

One. LESS LIKE SWEDEN – 21

Two. STRAIGHT LOCALLY, CURVED GLOBALLY – 31

Three. EVERYONE IS OBESE – 50

Four. HOW MUCH IS THAT IN DEAD AMERICANS? – 62

Five. MORE PIE THAN PLATE – 77

PART II

Inference

Six. THE BALTIMORE STOCKBROKER AND THE BIBLE CODE – 89

Seven. DEAD FISH DON’T READ MINDS – 102

Eight. REDUCTIO AD UNLIKELY – 131

Nine. THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HARUSPICY – 145

Ten. ARE YOU THERE, GOD? IT’S ME, BAYESIAN INFERENCE – 163

PART III

Expectation

Eleven. WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU’RE EXPECTING TO WIN THE LOTTERY – 195

Twelve. MISS MORE PLANES! – 233

Thirteen. WHERE THE TRAIN TRACKS MEET – 253

PART IV

Regression

Fourteen. THE TRIUMPH OF MEDIOCRITY – 295

Fifteen. GALTON'S ELLIPSE – 311

Sixteen. DOES LUNG CANCER MAKE YOU SMOKE CIGARETTES? - 347

PART V

Existence

Seventeen. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS PUBLIC OPINION – 365

Eighteen. “OUT OF NOTHING I HAVE CREATED A STRANGE NEW UNIVERSE" – 393

HOW TO BE RIGHT – 421

Acknowledgments – 439

Notes – 443

Index – 459